A techno-economic evaluation of the impact of electric vehicles diffusion on Italian customer billing tariffs

The sales of electric vehicles (EV) are recently experiencing an exponential growth. There is scientific evidence that EVs, in their lifecycle, generate a lower amount greenhouse gases emissions and local pollution with respect to ICE ones. However, fast EVs diffusion will increase the load on power system still unclear manner. It recognized EV charging intensive operation dumb strategies security problems for grid management. This likely happen at end business, when huge quantity gets connected domestic socket same time, thus contributing ramp up needs from thermal generators cope increasing slope “duck curve” sunset. presented model estimates burden different penetration scenarios have Italian short term (2025). evaluated terms energy flows profiles operations. A behavioural analysis operations thorough investigation electricity tariff allows calculate economic impact base strategically regulated scenario. In scenario, featuring regulatory toolbox steer efficiently, mitigated even case larger penetration.